Lens · Models · Compute Architecture

Active parameter counts have plateaued while scale-up domains are set to expand 8x, signaling a shift from model size to interconnect as the frontier lever.

Frontier models have held active parameters per token near 280–288B since 2023, even as NVLink domain sizes jump from 72 GPUs today to 576 in 2027. For lab and app teams, this means the next wave of capability gains is more likely to come from larger coherent compute domains than from raw parameter scaling—and hardware roadmap decisions made now will determine who can exploit that shift.