Adaptation Curve

Topic · L2 · Chips & Hardware

Seven generations, one trajectory: more memory, bigger racks.

H100 to Rubin Ultra in five years. The number to watch isn't teraflops — it's the coherent rack domain, the GPUs that behave as one. It's what makes a trillion-parameter MoE trainable at all.

Signal readings

  • Custom-ASIC share shift
    TPU, Trainium, AMD all chasing a 'better GPU'; Trainium currently doing best; needs switch scale-up for MoE inference2026-05-20 source →

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